Rolling shutter door industrial output value, the rapid decline in profit growth, the industry has become the turning point: in 2008 1 ~ 6 months, rolling shutter door industry, the actual economic performance better than expected, but the second half of the monthly rate of output and profits fell, and a accelerate the trend, 1 doors in October year-on-year growth in total industrial output value of 26.52% over the same period last year dropped by 5.39 percentage points; 1 August a total profit of 27.51% year-on-year growth in the same period last year dropped by 9.89 percentage points. Although the time point of view, the formation of a cyclical turning point is difficult to confirm the final, but the rate of view, has reached a turning point can confirm the range. Rolling shutter door industry since 2003, the sustained and rapid growth phase is over, will enter a phase of steady growth.
The state's active and effective macro-control measures, can be cautiously optimistic about the prospect of the industry: In the face of an increasingly grim economic situation, the state introduced a number of economic stimulus policies. For example, as much as 4 trillion economic stimulus plan, tax restructuring, to encourage technological upgrading of enterprises, have to shutter the industry play an active role in the development. Among them, the value-added tax policy on the transition door shutter industry's largest, is currently rolling shutter door industry's annual investment in fixed assets of approximately 9,000 billion, of which 40% is used to buy equipment, while 17% of the value-added tax is 50 billion, even taking into account the many benefits which have already been implemented policy, as the value-added tax in transition to reduce the burden of investment in fixed assets will be about 30 billion (Works shutter doors and shipbuilding enterprises downstream users of non-value-added tax as a result of the taxpayer, to benefit from smaller). Shift at the national macro-economic policies to secure a stable and rapid economic growth in the background, in 2009 is expected to shutter the industry may be presented before the economy after the high-low situation, there is still hope to achieve double-digit growth.
Growth forecast for 2009: the industry is expected to shutter doors in 2009 to 15% GDP growth, gross profit increased by 10%; each sub-industries, electrical and engineering industries to benefit from the rolling shutter door to expand the national investment policies, will maintain the growth of about 20%; the automotive industry will bid farewell to the era of high growth, return to moderate growth, GDP growth of about 10%; agriculture shutter doors, heavy-duty mining, petrochemical and general foundation for rolling shutter door parts will maintain the growth rate of about 20%, the machine tool industry a greater impact is expected to about 15% growth; internal combustion engine, rolling shutter door food packaging and instrumentation, such as growth at around 10%; culture growth in office equipment about 5%.
Investment advice: the current macroeconomic and rolling shutter door industry development trend, the next 6 to 8 months would be expected to gradually become a reality pessimistic period. In this case, the need for continued attention to the profitability of industry and business changes in the investment opportunity to be patient. The subject should be first choice for rail investment in equipment, electrical equipment, engineering and other industries doors of leading enterprises.